Rising import costs (particularly food inflation) are nearly impossible to control when the currency weakens this much.
Credit Suisse: With India looking rather stagflationary at present, the Reserve Bank of India faces somewhat of a dilemma. Does it ease policy further on the basis that economic growth is very weak and core inflation soft or keep rates unchanged as it worries about headline inflationary pressures?
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will likely cut rates again, simply because the core inflation remains relatively tame (core inflation as measured by RBI actually declined 0.1% due to a slowdown in manufacturing demand). But the outlook for growth is far from certain. With currency weakening, inflation could become difficult to control while growth is showing signs of slowing. These are the signs of stagflation.
-
Recent Posts
- Notes on 12 days in Bora-Bora, Moorea, and Tahiti
- Reading Feb 2026
- Reading Nov-Dec 2025 and Jan 2026
- AI as an existential threat – Kevane preliminary draft
- “What can it do?” A living list of computational problems that deep learning/AI/neural nets can or seems likely to “do” (at varying cost and efficacy)
Archives
Categories
Friends of African Village Libraries (I post regularly here)- Résumé des activités de l’animateur de ABVBF à la bibliothèque de Dimikuy
- Interview d’une lectrice de la bibliothèque de Dimikuy
- Résumé de la sortie de l’animateur de ABVBF à la bibliothèque de Dohoun
- Photos from Tuy province libraries in Burkina Faso from the past month
- Animation à la bibliothèque de Koumbia
- Compte rendu de la rencontre extraordinaire de Amis des Bibliothèques de Villages du Burkina Faso/ABVBF
- Organisation d’une séance de dessin à la bibliothèque de Koumbia
- Une visite de l’animateur de ABVBF à la bibliothèque communautaire de Koho
- Some recent photos from the mobile library in Hounde, Burkina Faso
- Remise du deuxième prix du meilleur gérant des bibliothèques de la zone du Tuy