As you may have guessed, this is not some special problem that only Japan has. The whole world is in the middle of that same demographic transition, in more or less dramatic forms. Productivity in the richest countries is growing more slowly than it did during the decades after World War II, which means that the world as a whole is not innovating as fast as it used to. Again, fiscal stimulus is not going to fix that. Fiscal and monetary policy can smooth temporary fluctuations in output. I’m less than convinced that they can, by themselves, improve our economic capacity. Oh, you can make a huge mess with really bad decisions: deflation, hyperinflation, nationalization, confiscatory taxation, and debt crises can have nasty impacts on your economic output that will outlive your macroeconomic mistakes. But ultimately, fiscal and monetary stimulus are better tools for managing temporary crises than long-term growth problems.
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Recent Posts
- Notes on 12 days in Bora-Bora, Moorea, and Tahiti
- Reading Feb 2026
- Reading Nov-Dec 2025 and Jan 2026
- AI as an existential threat – Kevane preliminary draft
- “What can it do?” A living list of computational problems that deep learning/AI/neural nets can or seems likely to “do” (at varying cost and efficacy)
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Friends of African Village Libraries (I post regularly here)- Animation à la bibliothèque de Koumbia
- Compte rendu de la rencontre extraordinaire de Amis des Bibliothèques de Villages du Burkina Faso/ABVBF
- Organisation d’une séance de dessin à la bibliothèque de Koumbia
- Une visite de l’animateur de ABVBF à la bibliothèque communautaire de Koho
- Some recent photos from the mobile library in Hounde, Burkina Faso
- Remise du deuxième prix du meilleur gérant des bibliothèques de la zone du Tuy
- Rencontre des gérants des bibliothèques du Tuy le 4 avril 2026 à la bibliothèque de Karaba
- Une séance d’encadrement du gérant de la bibliothèque de Dimikuy
- Encouragement des élèves de l’école Lokiéhoun à lire
- Organisation d’une bibliothèque mobile à l’école de Gnindékuy