Author Archives: mkevane

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About mkevane

Economist at Santa Clara University and Director of Friends of African Village Libraries.

“Decolonizing the Franc Zone” by Sanou Mbaye makes me wonder if true

As a result, there is no need to devalue the currency again, unless France unilaterally decides to do so, as it has several times over the past decades. From the end of World War II until the adoption of the … Continue reading

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Going out into the world….

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Public libraries in the United States in early 1890s according to William Fletcher

Source: Fletcher, Public Libraries in America, 2nd ed. (1894), 154.

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Projecting China’s Current Account Surplus

For several years China has run current account surpluses that have been widely seen as the most serious source of global imbalances on the surplus side. Its exchange rate intervention limited appreciation of the currency and led to a buildup … Continue reading

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Bronte Capital: The Macroeconomics of Chinese kleptocracy

The other key fuel for kleptocracy is a copious supply of domestic savings to loot. The reason Chinese savings levels are so high is the one-child policy.In most developing countries the way that people save is they have multiple children … Continue reading

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Lending performance in China

The CBRC has ordered major State-owned lenders to assess their loan quality as economic growth slows and more loans turn sour, the Shanghai-based China Business News reported on Monday.The regulator ordered the top five lenders – Industrial and Commercial Bank … Continue reading

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The World Bank’s China assessment

The Chinese economy is in the midst of a gradual slowdown. A weaker global economic environment and tighter domestic policies combined to slow gross domestic product GDP growth from 10.4 percent in 2010 to 9.2 percent in 2011. Slow growth … Continue reading

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IMF and macroeconomic risk in China

Official IMF assessment of the major risks to China’s economy, from press conference yesterday: Over the past several years, China has made significant progress in reducing external imbalances. The current account surplus, for example, has declined sharply from 10 percent … Continue reading

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Factoid of the day for Africanists: Louis-Gustave Binger was grandfather to…

Louis-Gustave Binger est le grand-père maternel de l’écrivain Roland Barthes, qui décrit ainsi son aïeul : «Dans sa vieillesse, il s’ennuyait. Toujours assis à sa table avant l’heure (bien que cette heure fût sans cesse avancée), il vivait de plus … Continue reading

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An old Fats Waller and Andy Razaf song… for Africanists, the story of Andy Razaf is truly outstanding!

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Stop the presses Econ 182… a must-read

Time and again, China has defied the skeptics who claimed its unique mixed model—an ever-more market-driven economy dominated by an authoritarian Communist Party and behemoth state-owned enterprises—could not possibly endure. Today, those voices are louder than ever. Michael Pettis, a … Continue reading

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Economist’s View: “Chinese Premier Blasts Banks”

“Chinese Premier Blasts Banks” Are China’s banks too big to be broken up?: Chinese Premier Blasts Banks, by Dinny McMahon, Lingling Wei, and Andrew Galbraith, WSJ: Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told a national audience on Tuesday that China’s state-controlled banks … Continue reading

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Econ 182 students… good blog post, but read the first comment in Economists view, which sums up your assignment, for some!

Fed Watch: Cash Exiting China Tim Duy: Something that I have thinking about for a few weeks – and was reminded of reading Ryan Avent this morning – is the series of pieces at FT alphaville regarding the outflow of … Continue reading

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Is China ready to open its capital account?

The discussion in China on capital account liberalisation, a major precondition for internationalising the renminbi, has intensified after the PBC released a new blueprint for accelerating the opening up of China’s financial sector. A senior central bank official gave an … Continue reading

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Chinese economic reform… a good introduction

After years of stagnation on the economic policy reform front, there was a rush of Chinese economic-reform proposals in early 2012. The pro-state government led by Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao is on its way out, to be replaced by … Continue reading

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Who knew? Wikipedia offers a nice explanation of Difference in differences method

Consider this example:[1] state A passes a bill offering tax deduction to employers providing health insurance. Let us also consider that in the year after the bill passed (year 2) the percentage of firms offering health insurance increased by 30% … Continue reading

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Yuan Continues Its 2012 Decline – Caixin Online

Data from the People’s Bank of China showed that in the first five months of 2012, the value of the yuan fell more frequently than any year since 2005 when the country launched exchange rate reform. Of 96 trading days … Continue reading

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Economists: Chinese Currency Significantly Undervalued – Real Time Economics – WSJ

Last week, a Chinese central bank official said the yuan’s exchange rate with the dollar “isn’t clearly undervalued.” Economists in the latest Wall Street Journal forecasting survey beg to differ. Twenty-eight of 41 economists who responded to the question said … Continue reading

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Shouldn’t they have been grading exams or something this past weekend?

                    Wish I could have been there… looks fun!    

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BEIJING: Shanghai stock market closes with a spooky echo of Tiananmen Square | McClatchy Tribune News Service | The Bellingham Herald

BEIJING — The stock market played a strange trick on the Chinese Communist Party on Monday.Whether a cosmic joke or coincidence – or as some wags suggested, an act of God – the Shanghai stock market index fell 64.89 points … Continue reading

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