The big guys, for now, decide to sit around a table and talk about what to do

Annoncée en fin de semaine dernière dans un contexte marqué par des débats « houleux » sur l’article 37 et la mise en place du Sénat, la rencontre de ce jour qu’on peut qualifier de « premier pas », jette donc les bases d’un dialogue entre majorité et opposition pour « traiter des questions qui engagent la vie de la nation ». Reçue après la majorité, et avant le Front républicain, la délégation de l’opposition, conduite par son premier responsable, Zéphirin Diabré, était composée de Hama Arba Diallo PDS/Metba, Bénéwendé Stanislas Sankara UNIR/PS, Ablassé Ouédraogo Le Faso Autrement, Roch Marc Christian Kaboré MPP et de François O. Ouédraogo RDS. « Au cours de l’entretien, le Président a proposé que s’instaure un dialogue entre l’opposition et la majorité, sous son égide, pour évoquer les questions touchant à la vie de la nation, sans exclusive aucune », a déclaré Zéphirin Diabré à la sortie de la rencontre avant d’ajouter : « Sur le principe, fidèle à notre manière de faire la politique, et aux valeurs auxquelles nous croyons, l’opposition ne refuse pas de rencontrer la majorité pour un échange ; d’autant plus que s’il y a des questions qu’on peut résoudre pour que notre pays aille de l’avant, ce sera une bonne occasion ».

via Dialogue politique national : « S’il y a des questions qu’on peut résoudre … – leFaso.net, l’actualité au Burkina Faso.

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Investor rights and environmental rights in the OceanaGold case

An Australian-Canadian mining company, OceanaGold, is suing the Salvadoran government for refusing to grant it a gold-mining permit to its subsidiary, Pacific Rim. Manuel Pérez-Rocha, a researcher at the Institute for Policy Studies, explained the situation: “OceanaGold is demanding more than $300 million from El Salvador. They are saying, ‘If you do not let us operate in your country the way we want, you must pay us for the profits that you prevented us from making.’”That sounds absurd, but it’s true: The company is claiming that under the Central American Free Trade Agreement, it has the right to sue the Salvadoran government for passing a law that threatens its bottom line.El Salvador is now defending its decision to prevent OceanaGold/Pacific Rim from operating the El Dorado mine near the Lempa River before the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes, a little-known World Bank–based tribunal.As several protesters pointed out, El Salvador’s decision is grounded in its need to protect its limited water supply. More than 90 percent of the surface water supply in El Salvador is already contaminated, and more than 50 percent of the country’s 6.3 million people depend on the Lempa River watershed for their water.

via The Fight to Keep Toxic Mining Out of El Salvador | The Nation.

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The U.S. Employment Situation – August 2014

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 142,000 in August, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 6.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services and in health care.

In August, both the unemployment rate (6.1 percent) and the number of unemployed persons (9.6 million) changed little. Over the year, the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed persons were down by 1.1 percentage points and 1.7 million, respectively.  Among the major worker groups, the  unemployment rates in August showed little or no change for adult men (5.7 percent), adult women (5.7 percent), teenagers (19.6 percent), whites (5.3 percent), blacks (11.4 percent), and Hispanics (7.5 percent). The jobless rate for Asians was 4.5 percent (not seasonally adjusted), little changed from a year earlier.

The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) declined by 192,000 to 3.0 million in August. These individuals accounted for 31.2 percent of the unemployed. Over the past 12 months, the number of long-term unemployed has declined by 1.3 million. The civilian labor force participation rate, at 62.8 percent, changed little in August and has been essentially unchanged since April.

via The Employment Situation – August 2014 – empsit.pdf.

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Federal funds rate remains at .1% per year….

http://www.newyorkfed.org/charts/ff/

fed funds rate

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U.S. current account deficit continues apace

So $500 billion a year. With a population of 300 million, this is about $1500 per person per year. Unfortunately for me, as director of FAVL, that means sustained appreciation of dollar fairly unlikely.

For the three months ending in July, exports of goods and services averaged $196.8 billion, while imports of goods and services averaged $238.4 billion, resulting in an average trade deficit of $41.6 billion.

via News Release: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services.

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Chikungunya has left the building….

Today, my eighth day, was the end.  I was feeling light-headed and sleepy almost all day.  My weird rash, where patches of skin feel like they are on fire, was diminished, but still there.  Then about 8pm this evening, I started feeling like a fog was lifting.  My body suddenly stopped… making itself felt.  My brain just started working again.  The last two hours have felt great.  Who knew it would last this long.  So the Chikungunya toll: Mother- 5 days of hell, quick recovery. Father- eight days and still not OK, Michael – eight days and now fine.  Brother Tim- Five days mild case.  Rest of Caribbean?  God help them!

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Chikungunya – right description of symptoms, I will not be trying the remedy

ARSENIC ALB 30 – to counter: the great debility with low vital power, the exhaustion after even slight exertion, the mental and physical restlessness, the sense of fear he was fraught with, the depressed spirit, the aversion to food, the propensity to curse, the mental turmoil, the despondent state, the almost weeping state, the bitter/metallic taste in mouth, the state of the tongue – dry and clean, the highly febrile state, the severe frontal headache with vertigo, the thirst for warm water – taken little at a time, the lumbo-sacral pain, weakness in lower extremities, the bilateral oedema in the lower extremities, the cold and clammy sweat , disturbed sleep and the imperceptibly small, weak pulse.

I found this when I searched for bad taste, in my mouth, which is now becoming practically unbearable.  Other symptoms though are diminishing.  Skin crawling still there.  via A CASE OF CHIKUNGUNYA FEVER – FASCINATING AND CHALLENGING EXPERIENCE.

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Limited interest?!? Limited interest?!?!

Papers also get rejected because they are of limited interest.  Say, they focus on the marketing behavior of tomato-growing households in three villages in Burkina Faso.

via BellemareHowtoPublish.pdf.

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Day four of Chikungunya: the skin crawling started last night… truly horrible

Various neurologic sequelae can occur with persistent chikungunya fever.Approximately 40% of those with CF will complain of various neurological symptoms but hardly 10% will have persistent manifestations. Peripheral neuropathy with a predominant sensory component is the most common 5-8%. Paresethesias, pins and needles sensations, crawling of worms sensation and disturbing neuralgias have all been described by the patients in isolation or in combination.

via Guidelines on Clinical Management of Chikungunya Fever – Clinical_Mgnt_Chikungunya_WHO_SEARO.pdf.

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The urgent need for public health action

The cost-effectiveness of public intervention seems like it must be higher than for any other disease.  If it gets to 100,000 deaths, even if the valuation of life is as little as $10,000, the loss will be in the billions of dollars.  I see governments and foundations donating $10m here, $20m there…  Meanwhile, last year the French government spent about $270m in just six months for Operation Serval in northern Mali.

While previous outbreaks have been largely confined to rural areas, the current epidemic, the largest ever, has reached densely populated, impoverished cities — including Monrovia, the capital of Liberia — gravely complicating efforts to control the spread of the disease. Alessandro Vespignani, a professor of computational sciences at Northeastern University who has been involved in the computer modeling of Ebola’s spread, said that if the case count reaches hundreds of thousands, “there will be little we can do.”  What worries public health officials most is that the epidemic has begun to grow exponentially in Liberia. In the most recent week reported, Liberia had nearly 400 new cases, almost double the number reported the week before. Another grave concern, the W.H.O. said, is “evidence of substantial underreporting of cases and deaths.” The organization reported on Friday that the number of Ebola cases as of Sept. 7 was 4,366, including 2,218 deaths.

via U.S. Scientists See Long Fight Against Ebola – NYTimes.com.

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Puerto Rico debt maybe not so bad… good news for Kevane family

A year ago, hedge funds were bit players in Puerto Rico and municipal bonds in general, long regarded as a sleepy market dominated by mutual funds that buy and hold the same bonds for years.Hedge funds began descending en masse last fall, after a wave of bond selling — particularly by rich Puerto Ricans — caused prices to fall. Fund executives made frequent trips to the island — visiting shopping malls in San Juan, meeting with government officials and speaking with pharmaceutical executives with major manufacturing plants there.To show how irrational the municipal market had become, one hedge fund pointed out this summer that Puerto Rico bonds were trading at higher yields than debt in Iraq and Ukraine — values that suggested that the commonwealth was riskier than a war zone.Over the last year, the hedge funds have bought the government’s general obligation bonds, bonds used to prop up public employee pensions, and bonds that built the island’s highways.

via Puerto Rico Finds It Has New Friends in Hedge Funds – NYTimes.com.

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Chikungunya and ebola

So I got Chikungunya unfortunately. My symptoms started yesterday morning, and built all day, and by nighttime the joint pain was all over… you know it is bad when you wake up at 4am looking at your gnarled hand and thinking, cripes, this is what my mother-in-law had, all the time… But of course, since it goes away after a week, for most people, there is no worry. Unlike Ebola, where this excellent roundup suggests that the number of cases is likely to be in the 100,000 range.

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Relaxing in Burkina Faso couple weeks ago

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Senegal touts its big effort to prevent Ebola from getting established

Lots of publicity, quick public health action, good treatment… so the Guinean is cured and none of his contacts got infected…. supposedly.  Reassuring.

Il est vrai que pour l’instant, la campagne active de prévention menée par les autorités sénégalaises a porté ses fruits. En effet, relate le site Afrik.com, « dès l’apparition de la maladie, le Sénégal a pris des mesures drastiques, en informant constamment la population. La ministre de la Santé s’est rendue à plusieurs reprises dans les régions les plus reculées du pays pour mener des campagnes d’information auprès des populations. A la télévision, est diffusé régulièrement un spot qui explique dans les différentes langues du pays comment éviter de contracter le virus. A Ziguinchor, relève encore Afrik.com, on mise directement sur les enfants, en les faisant participer aux campagnes de communication sur Ebola. Ces derniers se rendent régulièrement auprès des populations pour leur parler du virus, et des moyens de s’en prévenir. »Et Afrik.com de conclure : « une bataille a été remportée par le Sénégal contre Ebola. Mais la guerre est loin d’être terminée. »

via A la Une: une bataille gagnée contre Ebola – RFI.

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In Puerto Rico, helping my dad while my mom suffers through Chikungunya

She seems to be be pretty well, although last week when she got it was hell for her and my father.  It’s big news here is Puerto Rico with estimates of 20,000 cases….

If the deaths are confirmed to be directly linked to the virus, these would be the first fatalities in Puerto Rico, although there have been 32 deaths registered elsewhere in the Caribbean since last December resulting from the virus, which has never surfaced before in the Americas.“Mortality linked to this virus is very rare. It only occurs in very atypical cases, normally in the elderly or in newborns,” she said.“We will have to get used to the fact that Chikungunya may be in the region, just like dengue,” Rivera said.The first cases of Chikungunya were detected in Puerto Rico in May, and on July 16 the Health Department declared that an epidemic was under way.Since then, 4,079 possible cases have been noted, of which just 1,207 have been confirmed by CDC laboratories, which have a backlog in carrying out the relevant tests.  Chikungunya’s symptoms include acute fever, followed by a longer period of joint pains in the extremities which may persist for years in some cases. The disease is transmitted to humans by Aedes aegypti mosquitoes like dengue fever and while no specific treatment is known, medications can be used to reduce symptoms.

via Latin American Herald Tribune – Puerto Rico Investigating Possible Chikungunya-Related Deaths.

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More movies watched on Air France

I forgot to mention that one of the highlights of the trip to France/Burkina Faso was flying on an Airbus 380, the double-decker giant plane.  On the way back I realized a childhood dream: to go up stairs in an airplane 35,000 feet above the Atlantic Ocean.  The plane has a lovely large circular staircase in the back.  While everyone was sleeping I went up and down it twice, a big smile on my face.

Anyway, some other movies….

American Bluff (aka American Hustle)… not sure what the fuss was about… Could have been a tv movie… Ocean’s 11, the Italian Job? Pretty similar stuff from what I could tell.

Her…  I liked that it ended with the Singularity

Le Samourai … Watched the first half. To be honest, it was OK but I just got bored. I didn’t really care what happened to Alain Delon in the end.

A bout de souffle … Watched the first half. To be honest, it was OK but I just got bored. I didn’t really care what happened to Jean-Paul Belmondo in the end. Have to give Godard credit the single take scene with Belmondo and Seberg on the Champs Elysees is pretty amazing.

Barry Lyndon… if you think of the film as mostly a buildup to the scenes set to Shubert’s Piano Trio No. 2, and the hour after that as just denouement, then the film is near perfect. Kubrick’s staging of the long set of four related scenes (in the park, at the gaming table, then on the terrace, then back in the gardens) conveys the entire courtship and stops as Barry confronts Lyndon in another amazing scene… well, I watched it three times…

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A somewhat discouraging conversation concerning libraries in Burkina Faso

Last week I visited one of the villages where FAVL supports a library. We had an appointment at the office of the mayor. We walked up to the municipal building. A village woman was standing there with a man. The man was wearing a suit (no tie). Nicely dressed. I supposed he must be someone who works in mayor’s office, maybe the SG (the secretaire generaie, equivalent of the chief of staff, the person who actually gets everything done). He doesn’t acknowledge our presence until we get very close. Donkoui greets him, but he abruptly turns around signaling to me to come with him but he says loudly to Donkoui “You are to wait out here.” Something in the tone and manner tells me this is a joke. And indeed it is. One of the nice things about Burkinabe culture… the famous “parente a plaisanterie” means that it is easy for people to tease each other, even in very official settings. So Donkoui does follow me in, some paces back. The banter of whether Donkoui is even allowed into the mayor’s office continues until we finally sit down

Introductions. He is indeed the SG. The mayor cannot make it. I know, I say, I just spoke with him 30 minutes before. (I had called him that morning as we were driving into Hounde.) We then proceed with the usual discussion. The mayor and the council are very appreciative of the library and the assistance offered by FAVL. The problem of meeting the financial requirements of the convention is something they are working on. They think the current budget will be approved and be OK for the salary of librarian. But they are having difficulty to make the librarian a permanent employee of the library. I say the usual phrases. Our support for library is not permanent unless commune is fully involved and that means librarian is full employee of the commune. We continue to exchange platitudes along these lines: “It is hard,” “Libraries are the future,” “Children are the future,” “Reading is essential for the future of the children.”

Then the SG leans back. The main conversation is over. We start some banter, winding down the meeting. He says, “You know, the mayor and I were talking about this the other day. And we both agreed about how important reading is, and that libraries are essential. The mayor said to me why should there only be one library. Why not have more libraries? For example, why not have a library right here in the compound of the commune offices (la mairie, in French). Imagine if we had a new library right over there (he points outside the window). Everyone comes here (the mayor’s compound is at the outskirts of the village; the existing library is maybe 500 meters away, a 10 minute walk, in the middle of the village). We would be able to be sure it was working properly.” I could only smile and agree that it was indeed pleasant to imagine a library right outside the window. Inside I was practically stunned. How could he treat this so trivially; how could someone  think that a village of 2,000 people needed two public libraries 500 meters apart? Was it really the case that they had had a conversation like that, or was he just trying to flatter me?!

Ah, l’Afrique c’est pas facile!

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Measuring local rainfall using cell phone networks… IV for mis-measured rainfall soon to be available!

I take objection, by the way, to burkinés … Sankara would be rolling in his grave… burkinabè please!

Gracias a una colaboración con el operador burkinés Télécel Faso, los investigadores han podido tener acceso a valiosos datos sobre la atenuación de la señal hertziana, registrados por la compañía durante el monzón de 2012. Han deducido los volúmenes de lluvia caída durante dicho periodo y los han comparado con las mediciones clásicas de radares y pluviómetros. La eficacia del método quedó demostrada, subraya la nota de prensa del IRD: se detectó el 95% de los eventos lluviosos. Se trata de la primera vez que esta técnica se evalúa cuantitativamente.

via Las redes de telefonía móvil permiten medir las lluvias con mucha precisión.

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Studying Ebola, Then Dying From It

For me, this was the relevant paragraph.  My friends in Burkina Faso are well aware of the implications.

Instead, the virus was allowed to escape the first village, and then to spread into four more countries. That missed opportunity has cost the lives of many people, including my good friends. Failure to contain the virus now will be cataclysmic. Based on World Health Organization numbers, more people became infected with the Ebola virus in August than in all the earlier months of this epidemic combined. The W.H.O. predicts that Ebola may afflict 20,000 people before the outbreak ends, but that is only if the world mounts a prompt and enormous response. If we fail, that number will become 40,000, then 80,000, with no end in sight. Meanwhile, the virus is evolving as it spreads from human to human, raising the risk of it becoming even more contagious.

via Studying Ebola, Then Dying From It – NYTimes.com.

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Good news from Burkina Faso: CDP and UPC dialogue

Of course, could be a Machiavellian scheme to destabilize the MPP. But if someone does something deliberately to destabilize you, surely you can emerge un-destabilized?  Politics is the great game indeed.

Au Burkina Faso, le parti au pouvoir, le CDP et le chef de file de l’opposition, Zéphirin Diabré se disent ouvert au dialogue dans le cadre de la crise que traverse le pays. Le parti au pouvoir veut une modification de la Constitution pour permettre au président Blaise Compaoré de briguer un autre mandat après 2015. L’opposition de son côté souhaite le respect de la Constitution. Au cours d’une rencontre, vendredi 5 septembre, à Ouagadougou le secrétaire exécutif national du CDP et le chef de file de l’UPC ont annoncé être disposé au dialogue. Le parti majoritaire a rendu visite à la deuxième force politique du pays. Une première depuis les dernières élections législatives et municipales de 2012.

via Burkina Faso: le CDP et l’UPC se disent prêts au dialogue – Afrique – RFI.

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